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Planning Models for Colleges and Universities
$28.30
David S. P. Hopkins and William F. Massy
Book
Planning Models for Colleges and Universities
$28.30
David S. P. Hopkins and William F. Massy
Book
Drawing on the authors’ extensive experience at Stanford University as well as the work of others, this first systematic approach to fiscal and human resource planning in colleges and universities shows how transition models can and should become an integral part of the planning process. The authors first discuss the uses and abuses of planning models in general and the principles and methodologies for developing such models. They then describe many specific models that have proved to be useful at Stanford and elsewhere in solving immediate problems and establishing long-term goals. These models cover such diverse problems as medium- and long-range financial forecasting; estimating resource requirements and the variable costs of programs; long-run financial equilibrium and the transition to equilibrium; faculty appointment, promotion, and retirement policies; predicting student enrollments; and applying value judgments to financial alternatives. The final chapter discusses the applicability of the Stanford-based planning models to other schools. David S.P. Hopkins is Director of the Office of Analysis and Planning at the Stanford University Medical School, and William F. Massy is Vice President of Business and Finance and Professor of Business Administration at Stanford University. This is a reproduction edition based on a scan of the following original edition: Title Planning models for colleges and universities Authors David S. Hopkins, William F. Massy Publisher Stanford University Press, 1981 ISBN 0804710236, 9780804710237 Length 544 pages Contents Modeling and the Stanford Experience 1 The Evolution of Planning Models at Stanford University 24 Planning Models in Theory and Practice 71 Budget Projection Models 131 Production and Cost Models 186 Modeling for Financial Equilibrium 225 Financial Planning Under Uncertainty 266 Further Applications of University Planning Models 329 8 Means and Standard Deviations of SteadyState Number 380 2 Optional Constraints in TRADES 394 4 Primary Planning Variables Used in Stanford Study 420 1 A Development Strategy for Financial Planning Models 457 Table A4 1 Initial Allocation Fractions A and A 490 Table A10 1 Illustrative Data for the Decision Calculus Model 509 2 Historical Budget Surpluses and Deficits at Stanford 30 3 LongRun Financial Equilibrium Model Early 40 Constrained Value Optimization 384 The Pilot Experiment at Stanford 419 Applying the Planning Models at Other Schools 433 Other Modeling Projects at Stanford 467 Value Maximization Subject to Constraints 475 A Budget Model for NeedBased Financial Aid Programs 486 A Brief Technical Description of the Stanford Investment 492 Computer Printout from a Sample Session with the Univer 499 A Sample Session with the Staff Affirmative Action Planning 506 The University of Northern California 517 BIBLIOGRAPHY 525 GLOSSARYINDEX 535 2 LongRange Financial Forecast for Stanford University 34 4 Amount of Budget Reduction and Payout Rate 42 5 Income Expenditures and Deficit During Stanford Univer 48 7 Chronology of Transition Model Calculations 57 9 Changes in Policy Assumptions for Tuition Salaries 65 1 Examples of College and University Planning Variables 76 2 Classification of Inputs and Outputs for Colleges 113 3 Types of Cost Measures 124 1 Expenditure Forecast Summary by Object of Expenditure 134 5 Physical Variables Associated with Budget Line Items 143 11 StepDown Schedule of Indirect Costs at Stanford 162 13 Annual Growth Rates of Key Economic Quantities 182 1 Degree Winners and Dropouts by Entry Status and Enroll 197 6 Ratios of Instructional Faculty FTE to Students 210 1 Effects of the Enrichment Factor the Payout Rate and 236 2 Elasticities of Selected Equilibrium Solutions with Respect 252 Payout 271 4 Illustrative Dispersions Correlations and Serial Correla 292 7 Sensitivity Analysis for and ta Based on the Analytical 305 1 Fractional Flows of Faculty 196672 School of Human 345 Percent Absolute 358 5 Transition to LongRun Financial Equilibrium Model 47 7 Annual Income and Expenditures for Stanford University 55 1 Production Possibility Frontier and Indifference Curves 83 3 Marginal Values Revenues and Costs 92 4 Industry SupplyandDemand Relations for Nonprofit 106 1 Sources of Funds for a Constant Population of Financial 156 3 The RiskReturn Tradeoff Based on a 47Year History 169 5 An Illustration of Budget Disequilibrium 180 1 An Illustration of the Production Function of a Cost 193 4 Numerical Solution to the EightCohort Model 202 6 An Illustration of the Allocation and Appointment 214 1 Paradigm for ExtensiveForm Dynamic Planning 230 3 Examples of Tradeoffs Involving Rates in FirstOrder 250 1 Sample Probability Distributions for Real Total Return 268 3 An Illustrative Planning and Budgeting Cycle for Year 279 5 Flowchart for FirstOrder Smoothing Process 296 6 Probability That Downward Adjustments Are More Than 308 8 Probabilities That Endowment Payout P and Payout 316 12 The Effect of LookAhead in Dynamic Control 322 1 TwoState Flow Diagram of a Faculty Tenure System 335 4 Flow Diagram for Nontenured Faculty in 15State Model 346 7 TenYear Faculty Projections for a 10 Reduction in 350 10 The Cohort Flow Model 361 12 Staff Cohort Persistence at Stanford 375 1 Example of a TRADES Working Configuration 389 2 TRADES Forecast Mode Display for a ThreeYear Plan 396 An Illustra 403 9 Illustration of a TRADES Structured Search Option 411 12 Illustration of the Weighted IdealPoint Preference Model 419 13 Flow Chart for the Decision Calculus Program 429 1 Schematic Diagram for Hierarchical TRADES 448
